Trip Report Part 3: Bummed.

I love playing poker and would not trade my life for anyone else’s, but playing these tournaments can be dejecting when you’re in a cold spell.  My experience and wisdom on the tournament trail does not immunize me from the despair of repeated failure, and that’s how I feel right now. 

The WSOP is a great opportunity for me and other pros because there is so much less talent, on average, in these tournament fields.  It’s donkey heaven out here.  This makes my single cash so far even more frustrating that it would otherwise be.  It’s especially confounding because I earnestly believe I am playing very well and I don’t believe I have been overmatched by anyone at any time.

Also, I’m lonely.  This is a long trip and being by yourself in Las Vegas, on a weekend night especially, is strange and isolating. 

Recognizing that I needed them, I recently took two days off and returned to action yesterday feeling refreshed.  Alas, I could only muster a about 400th out of 2,700 players in the latest massive $1,500 Event.  I was undone, somewhat ironically, by the arrival of a donkey at my table.  Despite the relatively late stage of the tournament, he began splashing around in every pot, completely unafraid (or unaware) of the consequences.  He made for a rather confusing opponent, and he stumbled into a couple of spots where I donated a bunch of chips to him, and that was that.

All I can do is play well and keep plugging away.  I am an expert at separating my emotions from my poker (Sug D doesn’t tilt), but I’m not above admitting that the WSOP grind is bumming me out right now.

Trip Report Part 2: On the Board.

I now have my first cash of the trip, but also my first heartbreak.

Unlike every other tournament I’ve played out here so far, I opened Wednesday’s WSOP $2500 NL on fire. By the first break my 5,000 chip stack had grown to 15,000. And despite bluffing off half of those chips to Can Kim Hua in Level 4, I regained my footing and made Day 2 of the tournament with a healthy stack, despite drawing a very tough table with John Phan and Dustin Woolf later in the day. I was poised to make the money and potentially go deep.

During this tournament I employed a popular tactic of mine. It’s one that doesn’t take much effort, all I have to do is sit there quietly being myself. Here’s how it works.

Anytime I’m sitting at a table with younger players, they automatically do the same thing I do: they presume older guys are fish until proven otherwise. Since I’m a relatively unknown older guy in the youthful world of tournament poker, I am often mistaken for dead money for several orbits, sometimes even several hours.  During this time I have an easy time stealing the blinds, especially from middle and early position, before something happens to blow my cover. Then I do something like reraise out of the blinds and show down suited connectors, or call a short stack’s all in with queen high and the jig is up. Once the jig is up, it always unfolds the exact same way. During the next deal, a young kid sitting next to me, now feeling a newfound kinship with the scruffy old guy, perks up and asks me “hey, do you play online?” It never fails.

So in Day 2 of the $2500 Event I drew a great table, filled with players who were desperate to make the money in WSOP Event. Unfortunately the bubble period didn’t go that well, thanks in part to a player violating tournament rules by outwardly advising a short stack to call one of my raises. I was annoyed but I’m not the type of guy to report the violation to the tournament staff, so I let it go. Then the bubble burst, we were down to around 80 players, and I lost the following big pot.

Blinds are 1500-3000 with a 400 ante. I have roughly 50k. I pick up pocket aces and decide to openlimp since a couple of 20k-ish stacks are in late position, and I figure they might shove with a wide range. It is folded to a kid in middle position with 47k in chips and he makes it 14k to go. I am thrilled with this development, and I’m already imploring my aces to “please hold!” in my head. Then, it is folded one spot to another player in late position, and he insta-shoves for about 30k. This is a wet dream scenario for my aces, and now I’m chanting “hold, hold, hold, hold!!” in my head. When it is my turn to act, in order to ensure action from the 47k kid, I have the dealer count out both raises and pretend to mull things over a bit. Then I say “okay, I’m all in.” The 47k kid shrugs and calls.

There’s 140k in the pot, (and with all due repsect) I’m the best player at a table that is not breaking, and winning this hand would put me near the top of the leaderboard in a WSOP Event with a three million dollar prize pool and a first place prize of $667,000. I turn over my aces and say–aloud this time–“HOLD.” The 47k kid has JJ and the 30k guy has 55.

The flop is 10-2-2 rainbow. The turn is… the jack of diamonds. No ace on the river.

Ouch. I cash for $7,000.

I”m homesick for my fiancee and new apartment, but back to work today.

Trip Report Part 1: Deep Breaths…

Welp, Janeen’s brother’s wedding was quite nice.  The celebrity nuptials went off without a hitch.  It was a somewhat low-key party, hosted by a good friend of the groom at his strange expansive house in Chicago.  The bride and groom chose to eschew a lot of the typical formal reverie; there was no cake cutting, no first dance, no grandparents being hoisted in chairs, no glass clinking or any of that.  It was just a nice relaxed get together for family and friends and it was a terrific party.  I had a great time and had the opportunity to meet a lot of new faces and also the chance to get familiar with a lot of other folks who are about to become my in-laws.  I am admittedly not particularly adept at making small talk, even on my best day, and by the time I boarded my flight to Vegas at the end of the weekend my limited repertoire of topics had been fully exhausted.  I’ve probably been exposed yet again as “Janeen’s fiancee–nice guy, but he doesn’t have much to say.”  So it goes.  It’s better than faking it, right?

Unfortunately, Chicago is where the fun ends.  My World Series, through the very early stages, has been lousy.

I started the Vegas leg of my trip on a very positive note.  Psychological clarity and what I like to call “perspective refreshment” are things that I find vital in my profession.  Every now and then, I personally need to be reminded of what exactly it is that I’m trying to accomplish here.  This is harder than it might sound because it is easy to lose sight of the forest for the trees in my chosen life; you tend to get bogged down in  day-to-day struggles when you’re constantly playing cards.  My memory is way too short when it comes to self-assessment.  So when I randomly purchased a book in Chicago, I was happy to find that reading it changed my mental state for the better.

It’s called The Drunkard’s Walk:  How Randomness Rules Our Lives, and it’s written by a guy named Leonard Mlodinow.  It’s a book about math, specifically the laws of probability and the history of their study.  In poker circles I’ve always aigned myself with the “non math guys,” and in school math was always my least favorite subject.  But this book has made it clear to me that I am in fact a “math guy” at heart.  It was the math problems, where numbers are calculated for the sake of calculation, that were and remain a big turnoff of mine.  The theoretical, almost philosophical side of mathematics fascinates me, and I’ve always been a natural at solving practical probability problems, because I enjoy them.  Although this book does not purport to have anything to do with poker, I think it’s a good read for all people who deal with luck on a regular basis and have trouble quantifying it.  And according to Mlodinow, there are more people in that category than you think.  He convincingly argues that luck plays a bigger role than anyone realizes in numerous realms, and he fiercely contradicts the popular Branch Rickeyism that “luck is the residue of design.”  According to Mlodinow, luck is just luck, and it is visited most often not upon those with the most brilliant plans, but upon those who simply persevere.

This book really resonated as I read it on the plane on the way to the World Series.  I was already aware that June would be a make-or-break kind of month.  But I was unaware of how little control I have over which one it might turn out to be.  All I can do is maximize my small edge by playing as much as possible and hope my number is eventually called.  That’s tournament poker, and according to this author, it’s a lot of life, too.

Alas, my newly-acquired booksmart serenity lasted all of two days.  But it wasn’t a bad beat that sent me over the edge. 

I am trying to save as much as possible in the way of expenses on this trip.  I am out here to work–not play–and I knew ahead of time that all the usual Vegas trappings would be of little interest.  And it’s true:  I’ve had no desire to do anything other than play poker and sleep so far.  Even the mere sight of your basic Vegas nonsense has turned me off, I’ve tuned it all out.  With my profit margin alone as priority number one, I selected a hotel situated to the West of the Strip, just like the Rio, and ended up booking a room at the Orleans for $30 per night.  And instead of exposing myself to $40 per day in cab fares, I chose to rent a car for around $20 per day.  I was quite proud of my thriftiness until last night.

I’m not very good at navigating the terrain West of the Strip.  Some of the roads connect Tropicana (where the Orleans is) with Flamingo (where the Rio/WSOP is) and some do not.  Last night I attempted to drive to the Rio and found that I missed a couple of important turns, so I was forced to take the Strip over.  This sucks, because from a car, the Strip is just a long traffic jam with a lot of flashing signs.  So I made my way very slowly to the corner of the Strip and Flamingo and got into one of the two left turn lanes that led to the Rio.  As expected there were something like 20 cars lined up, and I didn’t make it through the light the first time it turned green.  The second time it turned green, I found myself beneath it as it began to change, so I turned left on yellow.

Apparently this is illegal in Las Vegas, because I had not yet completed the turn when I noticed flashing lights in my rearview mirror, and I was pulled over maybe 20 yards out of the turn by a cop on a motorcycle.  The summons, which I had no chance of talking my way out of, pissed me off to no end, and it will cost me $300 if I don’t choose to show up in court.  So much for saving on expenses. 

Some might find it it funny that I get bent out of shape over a $300 ticket while I have no problem spending $2000 on a tournament buy in, but there is a big distinction in my mind, and the fact that I distinguish between the two probably says something about how good my bankroll management and leakless personal spending habits are.  I hated getting the ticket, especially because I am innocent.

The bottom line is that the ticket REALLY pissed me off and took me out of my book-induced happy place.  Immediately after collecting the ticket I went to play a sit ‘n go at the Rio, and when some old douchebag busted me with Q7 suited against my pocket tens, the zen was officially gone.  I stormed back to my hotel (making sure not to run any yellow lights, of course) and had a fitful night’s sleep.  I was grumpy for most of the day today, and busting in Level 2 of the $2000 tournament left me briefly disconsolate, but I think I’m coming back around.  I needed a nap, which I took, and to regain some perspective.  Deep breaths.

Oh, by the way:  So far I’ve whiffed on 1500 Pot Limit and 2000 No Limit at the WSOP, and I made a good showing but didn’t cash in a Caesar’s Megastack event.  Incidentally, the Caesar’s structure in a $300 tournament blows away the WSOP’s tournament structure in a 2k.  If you don’t make a hand early in a WSOP tourney, you are through.  Period.  The WSOP needs to fix this in my opinion.

Move & Bail.

The last week of my life has been dedicated to getting moved and settled into my new apartment in Carroll Gardens.   Although Janeen and I just arrived, and despite the place’s current cardboard box motif, I can tell we’re going to love it here. 

This neighborhood and this apartment make me feel like a real New Yorker for perhaps the first time.  Better late than never, I guess.  The view at my old place was seaside:  a turbulent sea of grim-faced suits streaming through the shadows cast by stupid monstrous slabs of concrete.   For a brief time I felt energized by that scenery, but I soon discovered that I was only forcing myself to experience a cliched rite of passage into a world I quickly learned to tolerate rather than enjoy.  For years, I had occasionally experienced a palpable feeling of dread upon striding out my front door.

Relatively speaking, my Brooklyn view is pastoral.  My block has trees, squat chocolate brownstones and a lower volume but wider variety of passerby.  It’s not the size, shape and color of the people that distinguishes them, it’s the obvious lack of commonality in their stories.  My old neighborhood had two categories of residents:  the smaller group was made up of old rich people and the predominant group were new to New York City–cogs in Manhattan’s midtown and Wall Street machines.  Carroll Gardens has these, but also many other categories of residents, categories too numerous and nuanced to accurately list here.  I think people usually sum up my new neighborhood by saying it’s got “character.”  All I know is that after ten years at my old address, stepping outside is now a quasi-literal breath of fresh air.

It also doesn’t hurt that my new place dwarfs my old one in size, so much so that feels like an actual home–it has… gasp… more than one room.  Even though I barely realized it, a small studio apartment was a stifling place to live, and an especially stifling one to work from.  I’m writing this blog entry from my comfortably sized “office,” a room clearly distinguishable from our bedroom and our living room (as well as our “other bedroom”).  Pretty cool.

So hello Brooklyn and goodbye Manhattan.  I was so ready to go that upon packing up and leaving my old place, I felt none of the expected regret or uncertainty, just a prevailing wistfulness.  A wistfulness brought on by a flood of memories, good and bad, made in that small space over an extended period in my life during which everything changed more than once.

This is not just a happy time for me but also a strange one, since our landmark relocation cannot be celebrated in a traditional way.  I’m off to Chicago and then Las Vegas starting tomorrow, and I won’t be returning to my new digs for over three, possibly four, weeks. 

In Chicago I will be attending my first celebrity wedding, as Janeen’s brother and his fiancee are tying the knot.  They would both undoubtedly insist that they are unfamous (not infamous but unfamous) if they read that, but they both have achieved the world’s grand, undisputed, official gauge of fame:  entries on Wikipedia.  I’m lucky, both these future in-laws are likable cool people, and I’m looking forward to the wedding.

From Chicago I will be embarking on what will likely turn out to be the busiest month of my poker career.  Thanks to a surprisingly (and gratifyingly) successful first foray into the world of staking, I have collected enough money to comfortably play almost all the World Series of Poker tournaments I desire.  And I intend to play as many as possible.  For the next month, I will be playing large poker tournaments on a nearly daily basis.  I will not be an easy out.

And, as a presumably welcome change of pace, I’ll update my blog frequently from poker’s mecca during it’s most meccalicious month.   

Exciting Investment Opportunity.

I have decided to accept some staking in the preliminary World Series of Poker Events this year.
 
If you are interested in receiving the full details of what I’m offering and you’re someone I know and trust, please contact me and I’ll provide you with the prospectus.   🙂

-DZ

The Golden Rule.

“If you don’t have anything nice to say, don’t say anything at all.”

That was a popular refrain in grade school, and it effectively kept me from making fun of the kid with the nosepicking habit.  Lately though, it has also applied here.  I’ve been quiet on the blogging front because there’s really nothing good to report in pokerland.  But this thing is supposed to be about my trials and tribulations, not only my triumphs, so here you go.

While this is a very exciting, satisfying time in my life–Janeen and I just had a great engagement party and we’re closing on our new apartment tomorrow–I’m also withstanding an extended period of losing while playing fairly high volume online.

It’s the same old story:  I am having a very hard time getting over the hump in online tournaments.  The problem is crystal clear.  The intuition I have in brick & mortar settings is missing from my online game.  Yes, the competition, on average, is worse in live tournaments, but I’m certain that the issue runs deeper than that.  I simply make better reads live.  Of all the “sick laydowns” or “sick calls” or sick plays of any kind I’ve ever made, 95% of them have been live.  I just think with much greater clarity when my opponent is sitting there in front of me in the flesh. 

The solution is something I’ve been pondering for a very long time.  I’ve thought of everything:  switch to cash games, play sit ‘n go’s exclusively, take more notes, take fewer notes, use tracking programs, quit using tracking programs, play more volume, play less volume, play lower stakes, play higher stakes, add another monitor… I’ve thought of everything, although I’ve implemented relatively few changes.  The changes I have implemented have been ineffective.  Particularly embarrassing is the fact that my ROI (roughly “rate of return” for those of you who don’t speak pokernerd) in Pokerstars tournaments has slipped into negative figures over a very long period of time.  I’m still doing fine in sit ‘n go’s and on Full Tilt, so I’m not losing a ton of money, but Pokerstars tournaments, which were once my bread and butter, have become impossible for me to crack.

My recent failures are having a negative impact on my psyche.  It’s getting bad.  I have found myself screaming obscenities and throwing tantrums, which is pretty unusual for me.  These episodes are surely amusing to look at, but unfortunately I don’t get to witness them, so they don’t help me in any capacity. 

This is no way to warm up for the World Series of Poker.  So for the time being, I’m going back to basics.  I’m going to play online tournaments of all stake levels until my confidence is restored.  Final tabling a $10 tournament after 7.5 hours of play and walking away with $438 might feel kind of futile to someone who has several six-figure scores to his credit, but I need to remind myself that I still know what I’m doing, dammit. 

Quite the Daily Double?

What are the odds of the two most momentous personal events in your lifetime occurring on consecutive days? 

If you’re me, your odds (while still miniscule) just became higher than most.  The buzz in the poker world right now is about Harrah’s decision to move the WSOP Main Event’s final table to November, several months after the rest of the tournament is completed.  The reason they’re doing this is obvious:  to market the crap out of the final table and its participants and build yet more hype around the tournament.  The drawbacks are also fairly obvious:  the amateurs that make the final table can spend months prepping, thereby leveling the playing field, collusion will become a greater possibility, and of course what if someone dies in the interim?!

For me, the most interesting fact about the new final table date is that it’s the day after my wedding.  So in the extremely unlikely event that I make the final table, Janeen and I will become instant celebrities and the world will undoubtedly follow along as I hightail it out of Chicago the morning after my own wedding to go become a millionaire.  The ESPN camera crew will be a welcome addition to the reception.  😉

Sick.

“Sick” might be the most overused word in poker.  But I mean it literally.

Around 2:00 p.m. on Friday, right in the middle of a couple of online tournaments, I began to feel ill.  And thus began a yucky weekend during which I could barely move.  It is only now, about halfway through Monday, that I am beginning to feel semi-normal again.  This past weekend was lost to the worst illness I’ve had in several years–a bacterial infection that left me bedridden with a continuous fever and sore throat.  Really gross.

I’m going to conveniently ignore the myriad of practical reasons why I may have been beset with a debilitating illness during a weekend when I had a lot of things planned.  Instead, I’m going to assume that I was smitten by an angry God (it’s easier that way!).  And through some thorough investigation, I’ve narrowed it down to two suspects:

The Vengeful Belligerent Jew God.  While I did attend two seders on the appropriate dates, this year, even though I don’t fit into either of the exempted categories (children and the infirm elderly), I didn’t even consider observing one of my people’s oldest customs, “keeping passover,” a.k.a., forgoing leavened bread for a week.  Honestly, I didn’t even consider it for a single second.  I like bread; matzoh sucks.  Bad Jew.  The Jew God does not take this kind of thing lightly, it seems.  Oy vey.  I’m sorry, Vengeful Belligerent Jew God.  😦

Or was it…

The God of Schlubs.  After countless years of being a Grade A, never exercising, just sitting there on my fat ass schlub, in recent weeks I have attempted to turn a new leaf by starting a jogging regimen.  I have to admit, it feels pretty good.  And on the very morning of the day that I got sick, I ran over 1.5 miles, my longest distance to date.  Alas, the God of Schlubs sees all, and it seems he was insulted by my insolent attempt to desert his ranks.  He is not going to let me leave without a fight.  Bad schlub.  I’m sorry, God of Schlubs.  I’ll go back to being a lazy piece of shit.

Anyway, I think I feel well enough to play poker again (you’ll notice that I find it unlikely that God would punish me for gambling, that would be pretty lame)! 

PS:  thank you Janeen for taking care of me.  🙂

Guerilla Marketing.

With the current lull in poker action worth updating, I thought this might be a nice time to mention that my website is being advertised for the very first time.

The images you have just viewed are of friend of DZ.com Matthew Catapano sporting the very first davidzeitlin.com t-shirt (yes, that is me depicted in the second shot and on the t-shirt).

Actually the term “friend of DZ.com” might be a bit of a misnomer, and that t-shirt is not so much an advertisement as a not-very-subtle shot at me. In truth, ever since I began this website Matt has mercilessly made fun of me for it. His patented way of doing this is to say “dear blogisphere!” in a wistful, high-pitched tone anytime the subject arises. The implication, I think, is that blogs are for pretentious teenage girls, not middle aged men. Matt apparently does not believe that my daily doings are worthy of international broadcast, which is a decent point.

Still, the incredible irony of Matt’s derision should not be lost on anyone who knows him. This is because Matt calling someone else an attention whore is hilarious. You see, to say that Matt is an attention whore would be doing that term a grave injustice. Matt is no mere attention whore; he has raised the art of attention-grabbing to an art form. Amongst Matt’s favorite pastimes, in no particular order:

-growing out odd anachronistic hairdos;

-yelling “makeout session!” into the faces of all liplocked strangers;

-persistent use of alternative modes of transportation. These change nearly yearly and get progressively more bizarre. He currently rides a pea green Vespa around New York City;

-wasting an alarming amount of time on MySpace and Facebook;

-dressing up like an elf for the entire month of December.

There’s much more, but that gives you a general outline of what we’re dealing with. Oh, by the way: Matt is no spring chicken, he’s about to celebrate his 35th birthday.

Now that I’ve ripped him a new one, let me stop to say that Matt is my oldest friend in the world and we’ll always be boys. I am not afraid to admit that I’ve happily joined him in my share of infantile shenanigans, and there are doubtless many more to come. I’ll also reluctantly admit that I’ve passed on some of the infantile shenanigans because I just don’t have Matt’s balls (Matt was born without a sense of shame and never developed one to speak of, I cannot claim the same). So no offense buddy, it’s just that the time for retribution for “dear blogisphere” has arrived!

Also, I am fine with the free advertising.

Happy 35th birthday to my VP of Marketing, Matt Catapano.

Sawxwoods & My Place in the Poker Universe.

So I’m back from Foxwoods.  There are a couple of new things about Foxwoods these days.  One is that it the entire facility will soon be taken over by MGM/Mirage.  Sometime in the middle of May, Foxwoods will become known as the “MGM Grand at Foxwoods.”  I can only presume that this takeover is considered legal because the Mashantucket Pequot Indian tribe (all three of them!) will retain ownership of the place after management (not ownership) changes hands.  I am not sure what, if anything, will change from the point of view of Foxwoods’ customers.  I’m guessing that the thriving poker operation will remain exactly the same.

The other new addition at Foxwoods is a sports bar.  Other than the ballsy inclusion of a tote board (with odds posted for “informational purposes only,” of course), the defining characteristic of the Stadium, as it is called, is the section of it known as the “Rivalry Bar.”  The Rivalry Bar is a barroom split sharply down the middle, with its two halves distinguished by color scheme.  The right side of the bar is painted blue and white, with the Yankees’ retired numbers prominently on display in neat little white circles on the wall.  The left side of the bar is painted red and white, with the Red Sox’ retired numbers similarly displayed.  My Mets, shockingly, were deemed unworthy of inclusion in this motif.  The Rivalry Bar has been pretty quiet throughout my stay, but it will undoubtedly play host to much douchey drunken posturing once the Yankees and Red Sox renew their ancient hostilities.

It’s not hard to imagine how some marketing genius came up with the idea for the Rivalry Bar.  The stretch of Interstate 95 that separates Boston and Foxwoods is roughly equal in length to the stretch of Interstate 95 that I’ve been wearing out over the past two weeks.  Foxwoods is situated at the geographical midpoint between what are arguably America’s two most baseball-crazed cities, and at the epicenter of what is certainly the fiercest rivalry in Major League Baseball.

But this symmetry is not reflected in the general allegiance of the Foxwoods clientele.  The reality is that Foxwoods is an outpost of Red Sox Nation.  Boston Red Sox fans and their clothing are everywhere up here, but nary a Yankees (or Mets or Jets or Giants, for that matter) hat or jacket is on display.  The ubiquity of Red Sox clothing is so overwhelming that it feels like it was secretly coordinated; I have yet to sit at a poker table without the quota of at least one Red Sox article being met.  There are probably a few reasons for this vast imbalance. 

One is Atlantic City’s presence a few hours south of New York.  While New York sports fans have gambling options to both the north and south, New Englanders have only Foxwoods and neighboring Mohegan Sun to satisfy their degenerate urges.  The poker tables are thus dominated by men uttering pokerisms in New England’s peculiar dialect; there are lots of “shit caahds,” flushes in “hahts,” and “chawped pots” going on.  Another obvious reason that Red Sox (and notably, the Pats, Bruins and Celtics not so much) stuff is worn proudly at Foxwoods is that the Red Sox are baseball’s reigning champs.  Happy fans wear their teams’ colors, disgruntled fans generally do not.

But my theory is that the main reason for all the Sawx gear is that New Englanders feel a sense of civic pride about the Red Sox that is just not matched by New Yorkers.  Boston, at heart, is a small town.  Boston’s suburbs, in many cases, seem to be insular communities with a lot of long term residents.  These are people who grew up with and are very proud of their Red Sox.  Also, the long drought that preceded the Red Sox’ 2004 championship has not been forgotten, and the result seems to be a continuous, four-year outpouring of affection for the team now that it is finally producing after nearly a century of futility.  Incidentally, one might think that fans who have endured an epic century-long struggle would present themselves as humble winners, but Red Sox fans, while they are certainly proud of their newfound glory, are also generally quite obnoxious.   Either way, New England is currently identifying with its baseball team in a way that New York has not for a couple of generations, and that is why there is such an alarming, overwhelming number of people are wearing Red Sox clothing at Foxwoods nowadays.  I’m seeing that “B” insignia in my sleep after two weeks up there.          

And now let’s talk about poker.  I haven’t talked in detail about my poker playing a whole lot recently.  This is partially because my accumulated experience leaves me feeling fascinated by fewer and fewer of the individual hands I’ve played (I’m not bored with poker, just less fascinated by scenarios I’ve seen before).  Even in the analysis that is about to follow, I don’t imagine that I will get too specific about the situations I’m discussing.  But feel free to ask for illustrations if you’re curious and I’ll provide them.  

About a year ago I wrote a blog entry which reflected on a drought I was then enduring.  In it, I surmised that I was still playing pretty well but experiencing bad luck.  I then made the mistake of calling attention to that blog entry on a poker message board and was promptly taken to task by a pokernerd for not being honest with myself about my deficiencies.  The pokernerd’s lecture was entirely unnecessary–no one ruminates more about his weaknesses and deficiencies than I do.  Still, that experience makes me hesitant to write what I’m about to, but I am quite convinced of the accuracy of what I’m about to say, so I’m saying it anyway. 

The fundamentals of tournament No Limit Texas Hold ‘Em are now second nature to me.  I’m by no means an ultra elite player, and I still have much to learn, especially in postflop play, but I’ve gotten very good, maybe even scary good.  My game is way more advanced than it was only a year ago, and it is light years ahead of where it was two years ago.  It is fair to say that I’m an expert at playing the game now. 

Tournament No Limit Hold ‘Em is a wonderfully complex game.  Every single hand presents the possibility of an entire flow chart/maze-like group of decisions to be considered.  And part of the beauty of the game is that there is no single “right” way to play; countless strategies and counter-strategies can be effective.  There are, however, certain objectively wrong ways to play.  What I mean by this is that certain moves–especially in preflop action–are always mistakes, and have been proven as such through mathematical analysis.  Many of these mistakes are commonplace, and I witness them from my opponents all the time.  These particular mistakes once plagued me but now have been completely excised from my game.  I am happy to declare that I am through making simple mistakes, It’s been a long time since I gave away my chips that way.  This was not always the case, of course.  This blog–especially some of the earliest entries–is rife with hand analyses that I now find utterly embarrassing.  Do NOT search the archives of this blog looking for awesome hand histories, some of it is really ugly.  Many of the hands that I have proudly discussed in this space feature hideous basic mistakes on my part.  No more.

So if the tenets of basic preflop play in all tournament situations are now hardwired into my DNA while many of my opponents are unable of accomplishing the same, where does that leave me?  In a pretty good place.

I’ve now played tournament poker, at all stake levels, with everyone, from bumbling first-timers to the most respected players on the circuit.  This may come across as haughty or arrogant, but I’m generally unimpressed.  In my early professional days, the presence of an opponent of even moderate renown at my table was enough to intimidate me and make me all fumbly with my chips.  It took entirely too long, but I’m now way past the point where anyone scares me.  I’ve seen too much, I know too much, and I’ve won too much.  Until proven otherwise, I now assume that I’m the boss of my table.  I honestly cannot remember the last time I sat at a table that featured three players who I felt were better than me.  

On a related note, I’ve come to the realization that success on the live tournament circuit is often achieved through nothing more than simple, solid, unspectacular play.  So many players make such frequent rudimentary errors that merely avoiding such errors while occasionally capitalizing on them when others make them is enough to make a decent disciplined player a big winner.  Some of the biggest, baddest tournament players alive are not really higher-level thinkers.  They’re just experts at exploiting fish, and there is a vast abundance of fish in the live tournament world. 

So now that I’ve proclaimed myself a mistake-free poker expert and intimated that I’m a better player than many of the world’s best, I must be practically printing money right?  Alas, It’s not that simple.

First of all, there’s variance.  Presuming that I do in fact have an edge over almost all of my opponents, it’s still only a very slight edge.  I work on very small margins in this business.  One of the crazy things about poker is that sitting down at a table with inferior opponents is only part of the battle.  An actual opportunity to outwit those players and take some of their chips might only surface once (or less) in a long session.  In fact, it is perfectly normal for such an opportunity to never present itself.  And, when the opportunity does arise, the inferior opponent still might get lucky and completely foil the entire operation.  Frustrating, to say the least (handling frustration is another poker necessity, but that’s another topic).   

Second, I’ve begun to make a curious new type of error.  Poker is a dynamic game, and becoming more knowledgeable about it creates problems when evaluating unknown opponents.  Lately, I’ve found myself making poor reads because I am overestimating my opponents.  That is, I am frequently screwing up because I am ascribing a level of sophistication to certain players that they are incapable of.  This can be a critical error. 

As I said earlier, certain precepts of the game have become second nature knowledge of mine.  Because these precepts are so thoroughly drilled into my head, I tend to assume that others are also well versed in them.  Big mistake.  So, for instance, when an unknown opponent makes a play that I would never make without pocket queens, kings or aces, I find myself putting that opponent on pocket queens, kings or aces, then find myself in a state of shock when that opponent shows up with A-9 offsuit.  In many instances, my level of expertise has actually hindered my ability to evaluate my opponents.  I often play better poker against stronger players than I do against amateurs.  It’s just not as easy for me to crawl inside an amateur’s head.  The ability to read poor inexperienced players is a big reason why some merely decent players continually do very well in tournaments.   

So what does all of that mean for me?  Well, it should be obvious from my lack of “gooo me!” posts in recent days that I didn’t do much at Foxwoods this time around.  I survived by logging a million hours of sit ‘n go’s and quietly cashing in the $1000 event.  I failed in both of my attempts to satellite into the main event (I still need a backer, dammit).  At no time did I feel outplayed, but I did make a couple of silly errors attributable to senseless aggression.  And for good measure I tacked on a couple of other errors of the aforementioned “falsely assume the opponent is not a donkey” variety.  By doing this, I suffered the stinging embarrassment of losing some big pots to some crappy Foxwoods regulars.  My money will surely be recycled in the form of more Red Sox caps.